Lockinge Stakes – Horse Racing Tips

Lockinge Stakes – Horse Racing Tips

The prestigious Lockinge Stakes is set to take place at Newbury on Saturday, May 20th, 2023, at 3:35 pm. This Group 1 race attracts top-class runners aged four and older, and it marks a significant event in the British Champions Series. The Lockinge Stakes is run over the straight mile and serves as a key race in the middle distance series, culminating in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes on Champions Day. Over its 60-year history, this race has been graced by legendary horses such as Pall Mall, Brigadier Gerard, Kris, and the mighty Frankel.

Check out our tips, stats, trends and runner by runner guide for the Lockinge Stakes. Along with the leading bookmaker offers for the Lockinge Stakes

Locking Stakes Trends and Stats

To analyze the trends of the Lockinge Stakes, we can gather valuable insights from past winners.

Age-wise, 9 out of the last 11 winners were four years old, indicating that younger contenders have had the upper hand recently.

In terms of price, 8 out of the last 11 winners were favorites or joint favorites, with 9 out of 11 winners being in the top 3 in the betting.

It is worth noting that 4 out of 11 winners won their last race before the Lockinge Stakes, and 5 out of 11 winners had their previous run within the last 56 days.

When looking at the runners’ recent race history, 3 out of 11 winners competed in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot in their last race, with 2 of them emerging victorious and 1 placing.

Similarly, 2 out of 11 winners participated in the Sandown Mile at Sandown in their previous outing, with 1 of them securing a win.

Considering the course itself, 6 out of 11 winners had previously raced at Newbury, and 5 of those 6 had at least 1 previous victory at the track.

Experience over the distance is another crucial factor. 10 out of 11 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 8 furlongs (1 mile), with 6 of them having achieved 2 wins over this distance.

Furthermore, all 11 winners had at least 1 win over 8 furlongs. The runners’ overall flat form also carries weight, as all 11 winners had at least 6 previous flat runs, with 8 of them boasting at least 4 flat wins and all 11 having secured a minimum of 3 flat wins.

A rating of 115 or higher has been a common attribute among Lockinge Stakes winners, with all 11 previous victors meeting this criterion.

Additionally, 9 out of 11 winners had previously won a Group 1 race. Season form is also worth considering, as 5 out of 11 winners had a run earlier in the season, and 2 of those 5 had a win in their seasonal campaign.

Locking Stakes runner by runner guide

Berkshire Shadow:
Having won two valuable races on the All-Weather this year, Berkshire Shadow faces a tough challenge returning to turf at this level. A smart performer nonetheless.

Checkandchallenge:
This smart colt won a Group 3 race at Deauville last summer and finished fourth in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot. He showed signs of needing the run on his return, and once again, he may find a few opponents too strong at this level.

Chindit:
Chindit, the winner of the Group 2 Summer Mile at Ascot last year, displayed his class by winning a listed race there on his return. Although he finished third in this race last season, he is likely to find it challenging to surpass that achievement, especially considering the competition.

Jadoomi:
A relatively low-mileage 5-year-old, Jadoomi completed a hat-trick last season by winning the Group 2 Boomerang Stakes at Leopardstown. He finished third in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot on his final start but was reportedly lame. He commands respect as a strong contender.

Jumby:
A talented performer over 6 furlongs and 7 furlongs, secured his fifth career victory in the Hungerford Stakes at Newbury. However, his recent performances have been disappointing, and he has a lot to prove at this level, especially considering his uncertain stamina.

Light Infantry:
Runner-up twice at Group 1 level in France last summer, including a close finish in the Prix Jacques le Marois, has valid claims based on that form. He should be sharper following his comeback run at Newmarket, where he finished 3 lengths behind Mutasaabeq. Don’t underestimate him.

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Lusail:
Although Lusail won two Group 2 races over 6 furlongs as a 2-year-old, he hasn’t won since. He consistently performs well but finished fourth of 5 in a listed race at Ascot recently. It might be wise to consider other options.

Modern Games:
Four-time Grade/Group 1 winner, was successful in the French 2000 Guineas, Woodbine Mile, and Breeders’ Cup Mile last season. He finished as the runner-up in a Grade 1 race at Keeneland on his return last month, and he has a good chance to make amends in this race.

Mutasaabeq:
A highly talented miler, Mutasaabeq has won both the Joel Stakes and the bet365 Mile, both Group 2 races at Newmarket, when wearing headgear. Given his previous performances, it is worth giving him another chance at this level.

My Prospero:
My Prospero, a high-class colt, concluded last season with a remarkable second-place finish in the Champion Stakes at Ascot. While he is expected to improve as a 4-year-old, this distance may be shorter than his ideal trip.

The Wizard Of Eye:
Despite being a useful colt, The Wizard Of Eye will find the competition in this company too demanding.

Triple Time:
Progressing well as a 2-year-old, Triple Time completed a hat-trick by winning a Group 3 race at Haydock. He encountered difficulties at Longchamp the following month but remains relatively unexposed. However, this race presents a tough challenge.

Laurel:
Highly regarded filly, won her first two novice starts convincingly and ran an impressive race on only her third career start when finishing second in the Sun Chariot at Newmarket. Her lack of experience cost her victory, but she comfortably won a listed race at Kempton on her return and is expected to show further improvement.

Check below for our Lockinge Stakes tips

Locking Stakes Best Bets

Taking into account the statistical trends and the current field, Modern Games emerges as a solid option. With four Grade/Group 1 wins under his belt, including notable victories at the French 2000 Guineas, Woodbine Mile, and Breeders’ Cup Mile last season, Modern Games is the only runner in the field to have triumphed at the highest level. Although he narrowly missed out on a win at Keeneland in a Grade 1 race last month, he is more than capable of making amends here. Modern Games presents a strong chance to secure a ninth victory for Godolphin in this prestigious race.

While Modern Games appears to be the standout choice, keep an eye on Light Infantry as a potential contender at a bigger price. With runner-up finishes at the Group 1 level in France last summer and a promising comeback run at Newmarket, Light Infantry shouldn’t be underestimated.

Win Selection  Modern Games with Bet Goodwin

Each Way Alternative Light Infantry 1-2-3-4 places with Unibet

Want more of the best horse racing tips for Saturday then check out our best bets here